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'DRINKING  WATER.  . 

Source  protection 


ACT   FOR   CLEAN    WATER 


Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


Date:  April  2010 

Ontario  Ministry  of  the  Environment 
Ontario  Ministry  of  Natural  Resources 


Clarification  of  the  technical  terms  and  alternate  method  for  the  assessment 
and  assignment  of  a  risk  level  to  a  local  area. 


The  Clean  Water  Act,  2006  (the  Act),  which  came  into  effect  in  July  2007,  sets  the  legal 
framework  that  ensures  communities  are  able  to  protect  their  municipal  drinking  water  supplies 
by  developing  collaborative,  locally  driven,  science-based  protection  plans.  Communities  will 
identify  potential  risks  to  local  water  sources  and  take  action  to  reduce  or  eliminate  these  risks. 

In  October  2006,  the  Ministry  of  the  Environment  (MOE)  issued  the  document  called 
"Assessment  Report:  Draft  Guidance  Modules"  to  guide  the  tasks  being  undertaken  for  the 
source  protection  technical  studies  in  advance  of  the  technical  rules  and  regulations  under  the 
Clean  Water  Act,  2006. 

The  development  of  the  assessment  report  is  set  out  in  the  Act,  regulation  287/07,  and  the 
"Technical  Rules:  Assessment  Report"  (the  technical  rules),  dated  November  2009.  With  the 
technical  rules  coming  into  effect,  some  of  the  methods  set  out  in  the  Draft  Guidance  Modules 
are  no  longer  valid.  This  Technical  Bulletin  provides  updated  guidance  in  certain  areas. 

The  province  has  three  (3)  Tier  3  Water  Quantity  Risk  Assessment  (WQnRA)  projects 
underway  to  implement  the  approach  set  out  in  the  Technical  Rules.  In  undertaking  these  first 
projects,  the  province  has  identified  a  number  of  situations  where  the  methods  in  the  technical 
rules  are  not  sufficient  to  meet  the  intent  of  the  Act. 

Based  on  these  projects,  the  Part  IX  -  Local  Area  Risk  Level  of  the  Technical  Rules  has  been 
reviewed  as  a  result  of  the  ongoing  Tier  3  WQnRA  projects.  As  consequence,  where  necessary, 
an  alternative  approach  may  be  required  to  assign  a  local  area  risk  level.  The  following 
approach  is  a  tested  and  consistent  alternative  approach  that  can  be  applied  by  any  source 


J>> 


Protecting  our  environment. 


Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


protection  committee  (SPC)  in  the  province  to  evaluate  the  circumstances  in  which  water 
quantity  threats  could  be  considered  as  significant  or  moderate  threats  in  their  source 
protection  area. 

The  focus  of  this  Technical  Bulletin  is  to  provide  clarity  on  the  following: 

The  assessment  of  the  circumstances  in  which  significant  and  moderate  local  area  risk 
levels  are  assigned,  by  providing  tables  that  link  the  type  of  system,  temporal  and 
landscape  scenarios  and  the  circumstances  for  each  scenario; 

•  The  application  and  evaluation  of  "tolerance"  and  "other  uses",  as  part  of  the  assessment 
of  circumstances.  This  method  would  clearly  align  with  the  method  used  to  evaluate  the 
risk  of  water  quality  threats  through  an  assessment  of  circumstances: 

By  undertaking  the  risk  assessment  following  the  tables  provided  in  this  technical 
bulletin,  the  tables  would  clearly  guide  the  application  of  tolerance  only  to  existing 
municipal  systems  and  only  when  average  demand  can  be  met  but  peak  demands  cannot. 

Also,  the  tables  would  clearly  guide  the  consideration  of  "other  uses"  only  for  planned 
municipal  systems  or  existing  municipal  systems  with  committed  demand  for  average 
conditions.  Other  uses  would  not  be  considered  for  existing  systems  or  drought  scenarios. 

The  introduction  of  thresholds  when  considering  "other  uses"  for  the  reduction  of 
groundwater  discharge-surface  water  flows  (because  of  increased  groundwater  pumping) 
for  cold  water  fisheries  in  headwaters  of  rivers  and  streams; 

The  introduction  of  professional  judgement  (unacceptable  impacts  or  measurable  but 
potentially  unacceptable  impacts  to  regulated  water  levels  and/or  flows  or  permits, 
aquatic  habitat  of  river  systems  and  provincially  significant  wetlands)  to  assist  in 
assigning  risk  levels  to  local  areas; 

The  clarification  of  terms  used  in  the  evaluation  of  Risk  Level  under  Part  IX  of  the 
Technical  Rules,  such  as  allocated  and  committed  demands 

The  result  is  an  assigned  level  of  risk  to  the  local  area  thereby  eliminating  the  term 
"exposure",  which  becomes  irrelevant  following  the  proposed  alternative  approach  and  tables 
of  circumstances. 

Alternative  Approach  for  Assigning  a  Risk  Level  to  a  Local  Area 

This  Technical  bulletin  has  been  organised  into  the  following  Sections: 

1.  Alternative  Approach  for  Part  IX  -  Local  Area  Risk  Level 

Taskl:  Evaluation  of  Risk 
Task  2:  Tolerance  Level,  Existing  Drinking  Water  Systems 


Protecting  our  environment* 


Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 

Task  3:  Assignment  of  Risk  Level 

2.  Clarifications  in  Regard  to  Allocated  Quantity  of  Water 

3.  Rule  15.1  -  Alternative  Approach 

These  sections  describe  the  steps  required  to  undertake  Part  IX  -  Local  Area  Risk  Level  of 
the  Technical  Rules  required  for  water  quantity  risk  assessment  of  the  Assessment  Report  in 
assigning  a  risk  level  to  a  local  area,  by  following  an  alternative  approach  which  reflects  the 
above  clarifications. 

1.        Alternative  Approach  for  Part  IX  -  Local  Area  Risk  Level 

Task  1:  Evaluation  of  Risk  Level 

(1)  A  risk  level  must  be  assigned  to  every  local  area  required  to  be  delineated  in  accordance 
with  Part  III  of  the  Technical  Rules.  The  risk  level  must  be  assigned  by: 


• 


• 


evaluating  the  scenarios  developed  in  the  water  budget  models  for  the  Tier  3  of  the 
WQnRA,  and  described  in  Tables  4A  and  4B  which  are  provided  below  in  this 
Technical  Bulletin 

for  each  scenario,  evaluating  the  circumstances  in  Tables  4C  and  4D  which  are 
provided  below  in  this  Technical  Bulletin. 


Tables  4A  and  4B  describe  respectively  the  Surface  Water  and  the  Groundwater  Risk 
Scenarios.  For  each  assessment  Scenario,  the  Tables  provide  the  time  period  for  the 
assessment,  as  well  as  requirements  for  land  cover,  municipal  allocated  pumping  rate,  non- 
municipal  pumping  rates  and  model  simulation  approach. 

Tables  4C  and  4D  provide  the  Circumstances  to  be  taken  into  account  for  each  Scenario  to 
assign  significant  or  moderate  Risk,  for  each  type  of  drinking  water  system. 


(2)  For  the  purposes  of  assessing  the  circumstances  described  in  Tasks  2  and  3  below: 

(A)  the  time  period  to  be  assessed  is  the  time  period  described  in  Column  2  of  Tables 
4A  and  4B;  and 

(B)  the  data  used  shall  meet  the  requirements  listed  in  Columns  3  and  4  of  Tables  4A 
and  4B  where  one  or  more  parameters  in  respect  of  the  data  are  listed,  and  in  all 
other  cases  the  data  shall  be  reflective  of  conditions  that  existed  during  the  time 
period. 

(3)  For  the  purposes  of  Task  3  below,  the  other  uses  of  water  in  the  area  are, 


Protecting  our  environment* 


Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 

(A)  with  respect  to  surface  water, 

(a)  waste  water  assimilation, 

(b)  surface  water  takings  downstream  of  the  intake  or  intakes, 

(c)  electric  power  generation, 

(d)  navigation, 

(e)  recreation, 

(f )  aquatic  habitat,  and 

(g)  provincially  significant  wetlands;  and 

(B)  with  respect  to  groundwater, 

(h)  down  gradient  groundwater  takings  by  other  persons  in  the  area, 

(i)   aquatic  habitat,  and 

(j )   provincially  significant  wetlands . 

Task  2:  Tolerance  Level,  Existing  Drinking  Water  Systems 

If  the  local  area  relates  to  an  existing  municipal  drinking  water  system,  a  tolerance  level  must 
be  assigned  in  accordance  with  the  approach  described  below: 

An  existing  type  I,  II  or  III  system  shall  be  assigned  one  of  the  following  tolerance  levels: 

(1)  High,  if  the  system  obtains  water  from  a  surface  water  intake  relating  to  a  local 
area  assessed  in  accordance  with  the  circumstances  described  in  Task  3.1  (l)(b)  of 
this  Technical  Bulletin  and  at  all  times  during  that  assessment,  the  system  would 
have  been  capable  of  meeting  the  peak  demands  of  users  of  the  system. 

(2)  High,  if  the  system  obtains  water  from  a  well  relating  to  a  local  area  assessed  in 
accordance  with  the  circumstances  described  in  Task  3.1  (2)(b)  of  this  Technical 
Bulletin  and  at  all  times  during  that  assessment,  the  system  would  have  been 
capable  of  meeting  the  peak  demands  of  users  of  the  system. 

(3)  Low,  if  a  tolerance  level  is  not  assigned  in  accordance  with  either  of  (1)  or  (2) 
above. 


Protecting  our  environment* 


Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


Task  3:  Assignment  of  Risk  Level. 

The  models  used  in  Part  III  of  the  Technical  Rules  to  prepare  the  water  budget  for  the  local 
area  shall  be  used  to  assess  the  scenarios  described  in  Task  3. 

Task  3.1:  Assignment  of  Significant  Risk  Level 

A  local  area  has  a  risk  level  of  significant  if  one  or  more  of  the  following  circumstances 
exist: 

(1)  Scenarios  A  and  B  in  Tables  4A  and  4C  -  One  or  More  Surface  Water  Intakes. 

(a)  If  at  any  time  during  scenario  A  or  B  the  quantity  of  water  that  could  have  been 
taken  from  surface  water  bodies  in  the  local  area  would  not  have  been  sufficient 
to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  taken  by  those  municipal  surface  water 
intakes. 

(b)  If  at  any  time  during  scenario  A  or  B  the  quantity  of  water  that  could  have  been 
taken  from  surface  water  bodies  in  the  local  area  would  have  been  sufficient  to 
meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  taken  by  those  municipal  surface  water 
intakes  and  the  tolerance  is  Low. 

(2)  Scenarios  C  and  D  in  Tables  4B  and  4D  -  One  or  More  Groundwater  Wells 

(a)  If  at  any  time  during  scenario  C  or  D  the  quantity  of  water  that  could  have  been 
taken  from  groundwater  in  the  local  area  would  not  have  been  sufficient  to  meet 
the  allocated  quantity  of  water  taken  by  those  municipal  groundwater  wells. 

(b)  If  at  any  time  during  scenario  C  or  D  the  quantity  of  water  that  could  have  been 
taken  from  groundwater  in  the  local  area  would  have  been  sufficient  to  meet  the 
allocated  quantity  of  water  taken  by  those  municipal  groundwater  wells  and  the 
tolerance  is  Low. 


(3)     Scenarios  El,  E2,  E3  and  Fl,  F2,  F3  in  Tables  4A  and  4C 
Intakes. 


One  or  More  Surface  Water 


(a)  If  a  planned  system  or  an  existing  system  with  a  committed  demand  greater  than  0 
L/s,  at  any  time  during  scenarios  El, 2,3  or  Fl,2,3  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be 
taken  from  surface  water  bodies  in  the  local  area  would  not  be  sufficient  to  meet 
the  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal  surface  water  intakes. 

(b)  If  a  planned  system  or  an  existing  system  with  a  committed  demand  greater  than  0 
L/s,  at  any  time  during  scenario  El, 2,3  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken 
from  surface  water  bodies  in  the  local  area  would  be  sufficient  to  meet  the 
allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal  surface  water  intakes  and  one  or 
more  of  the  following  circumstance  exists: 


Protecting  our  environment* 


Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


(i)  the  reduction  in  existing  surface  water  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in  response 
to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  unacceptable  impacts  to  existing  regulated 
water  levels  and/or  flows  or  permits. 

(ii)  the  reduction  in  existing  surface  water  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in  response 
to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  unacceptable  impacts  to  aquatic  habitat  and 
provincially  significant  wetlands. 


(4)     Scenarios  Gl,  G2,  G3  and  HI,  H2,  H3  in  Tables  4B  and  4D 
Groundwater  Wells 


One  or  More 


(a)     If  a  planned  system  or  an  existing  system  with  a  committed  demand  greater  than  0 
L/s,  at  any  time  during  scenarios  Gl,2,3  or  HI, 2,3  the  quantity  of  water  that  can 
be  taken  from  groundwater  in  the  local  area  would  not  be  sufficient  to  meet  the 
allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal  groundwater  wells. 

(b)    If  a  planned  system  or  an  existing  system  with  a  committed  demand  greater  than  0 
L/s,  at  any  time  during  scenarios  Gl,2,3  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken 
from  groundwater  in  the  local  area  would  be  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated 
quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal  groundwater  wells  and  one  or  more  of  the 
following  circumstance  exists: 

(i)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in  response 
to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  unacceptable  impacts  to  existing  regulated 
water  levels  and/or  flows  or  permits. 

(ii)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  discharge,  in  response  to  the  allocated 
pumping  rates,  into  a  coldwater  watercourse  by  a  threshold  calculated  as 
greater  than  20  percent  as  compared  to  the  existing  estimated  monthly 
streamflow  Qp80  (the  flow  that  is  exceeded  80  percent  of  the  time)  or  the 
average  monthly  baseflow  of  the  watercourse  or  another  threshold  that  has 
already  been  defined  as  a  condition  in  an  exiting  permit. 

(iii)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in  response 
to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  unacceptable  impacts  to  provincially 
significant  wetlands. 

Task  3.2:  Assignment  of  Moderate  Risk  Level 

A  local  area  has  a  risk  level  of  moderate  if  one  or  more  of  the  following  circumstances  exist: 

(1)     Scenarios  El,  E2,  E3  in  Tables  4A  and  4C  -  One  or  More  Surface  Water  Intakes  . 

(a)     If  a  planned  system  or  an  existing  system  with  a  committed  demand  greater  than  0 
L/s,  at  any  time  during  scenarios  E  1,2,3  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken 
from  surface  water  bodies  in  the  local  area  would  be  sufficient  to  meet  the 


Protecting  our  environment* 


Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal  surface  water  intakes  and  one  or 
more  of  the  following  circumstance  exists: 

(i)  the  reduction  in  existing  surface  water  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in  response 
to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  measurable  and  potentially  unacceptable 
impacts  to  existing  regulated  water  levels  and/or  flows  or  permits. 

(ii)  the  reduction  in  existing  surface  water  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in  response 
to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  a  measurable  and  potentially  unacceptable 
impact  to  aquatic  habitat  and  provincially  significant  wetlands. 

(2)     Scenarios  Gl,  G2,  G3  in  Tables  4B  and  4D  -  One  or  More  Groundwater  Wells 

(a)     If  a  planned  system  or  an  existing  system  with  a  committed  demand  greater  than  0 
L/s,  at  any  time  during  scenarios  Gl,2,3  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken 
from  groundwater  in  the  local  area  would  be  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated 
quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal  groundwater  wells  and  one  or  more  of  the 
following  circumstance  exists: 

(i)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in  response 
to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  measurable  and  potentially  unacceptable 
impacts  to  existing  regulated  water  levels  and/or  flows  or  permits. 

(ii)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  discharge,  in  response  to  the  allocated 
pumping  rates,  into  a  coldwater  watercourse  by  a  threshold  calculated 
between  a  minimum  of  10  percent  but  not  greater  than  20  percent  as  compared 
to  the  existing  estimated  monthly  streamflow  Qp80  (the  flow  that  is  exceeded 
80  percent  of  the  time)  or  the  average  monthly  baseflow  of  the  watercourse  or 
another  threshold  that  has  already  been  defined  as  a  condition  in  an  exiting 
permit. 

(iii)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in  response 
to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  measurable  but  acceptable  impacts  to 
provincially  significant  wetlands. 

Task  3.3:  Uncertainty  and  Sensitivity  Analysis 

An  analysis  of  the  uncertainty,  characterized  as  high  or  low,  must  be  made  in  respect  of  the 
risk  level  for  the  local  area. 

(1)  The  following  factors  shall  be  considered  in  an  analysis  of  uncertainty  for  Task  3.2: 

(a)  The  distribution,  variability,  quality  and  relevance  of  the  available  input  data; 

(b)  The  ability  of  the  methods  and  models  used  to  accurately  reflect  the  hydrologic 
system; 


Protecting  our  environment* 


Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


(c)  The  quality  assurance  and  quality  control  procedures  applied;  and 

(d)  The  extent  and  level  of  calibration  and  validation  achieved  for  any  groundwater  and 
surface  models  used  or  calculations  and  general  assessments  completed. 

(2)  Despite  Task  3.2,  a  local  area  has  a  risk  level  of  significant  if, 

(a)  uncertainty  determined  in  accordance  with  (1)  is  high;  and 

(b)  a  sensitivity  analysis  of  the  data  used  to  prepare  the  water  budget  for  the  local  area 
suggests  that  the  risk  level  for  the  local  area  could  be  significant. 

Task  3.4:  Assignment  of  Low  Risk  Level 

Where  a  local  area  was  not  assigned  a  risk  level  of  significant  or  moderate  in  accordance 
with  Tasks  3.1,  3.2  and  3.3,  the  local  area  has  a  risk  level  of  low. 


Protecting  our  environment* 


Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


Table  4A  -  Surface  Water  Risk  Scenarios 


Scenario 

Time 
Period 

Surface  Water  Model  Scenarios 

Land  Cover 

Allocated 

Pumping 

Rate 

(municipal) 

Pumping 
Rate 
(non- 
municipal) 

Model  Simulation 

A 

The 

period 

for  which 

climate 

and 

stream 

flow  data 

are 

available 

for  the 

local  area 

Existing 

Existing 

Existing 

Continuous  (Daily); 
Monthly  pumping 

B 

2/10 
year 
drought 
period 

Existing 

Existing 

Existing 

Continuous  (Daily); 
Monthly  pumping 

E(l) 

The 

period 

for  which 

climate 

and 

stream 

flow  data 

are 

available 

for  the 

local  area 

Land  cover 
reflective  of 
the  planned 
or  existing 

plus 

committed 

(Official  Plan) 

Existing  plus 

committed 

plus  planned 

Future 

New 

Imperviou 

s  Areas 

and 
Increase 
in  Total 
Demand 

Continuous 
(Daily); 
Monthly 
pumping 

E(2) 

Existing 

Existing  plus 

committed 

plus  planned 

Existing 

Increase 

in 
Municipal 
Demand 

E(3) 

Land  cover 
reflective  of 
the  planned 
or  existing 

plus 

committed 

(Official  Plan) 

Existing 

Future 

New 

Imperviou 

s  Areas 

and 
Increase 
in  Non- 
Municipal 
Demand 

F(D 

2/10 
year 
drought 
period 

Land  cover 
reflective  of 
the  planned 
or  existing 

plus 

committed 

(Official  Plan) 

Existing  plus 

committed 

plus  planned 

Future 

New 

Imperviou 

s  Areas 

and 
Increase 
in  Total 
Demand 

Continuous 
(Daily); 
Monthly 
pumping 

F(2) 

2/10 
year 
drought 
period 

Existing 

Existing  plus 

committed 

plus  planned 

Existing 

Increase 

in 
Municipal 
Demand 

F(3) 

2/10 
year 
drought 
period 

Land  cover 
reflective  of 
the  planned 
or  existing 

plus 

committed 

(Official  Plan) 

Existing 

Future 

New 

Imperviou 

s  Areas 

and 
Increase 
in  Non- 
Municipal 
Demand 

Protecting  our  environment* 


Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


Table  4B 

-  Groundwater  Risk  Scenarios 

Scenario 

Time 
Period 

Groundwater  Model  Scenarios 

Land  Cover 

Allocated 

Pumping 

Rate 

(municipal) 

Pumping 
Rate 

(non- 
municipal) 

Model  Simulation 

c 

The 

period 

for 

which 

climate 

and 

stream 

flow 

data  are 

available 

for  the 

local 

area 

Existing 

Existing 

Existing 

Steady-state,  Average 
Annual  Recharge 

D 

10  year 
drought 
period 

Existing 

Existing 

Existing 

Transient;  Monthly 

pumping  and  recharge 

rates 

G(l) 

The 

period 

for 

which 

climate 

and 

stream 

flow 

data  are 

available 

for  the 

local 

area 

Land  cover 

reflective  of 

the  planned  or 

existing  plus 

committed 

(Official  Plan) 

Existing  plus 

committed 

plus  planned 

Future 

GW 
Recharge 
Reduction 

and 
Increase 
in  Total 
Demand 

Steady- 
State; 
Average 
Annual 
Recharge 

G(2) 

Existing 

Existing  plus 

committed 

plus  planned 

Existing 

Increase 

in 
Municipal 
Demand 

G(3) 

Land  cover 

reflective  of 

the  planned  or 

existing  plus 

committed 

(Official  Plan) 

Existing 

Future 

GW 
Recharge 
Reduction 

and 
Increase 
in  Non- 
Municipal 
Demand 

H(l) 

10  year 
drought 
period 

Land  cover 

reflective  of 

the  planned  or 

existing  plus 

committed 

(Official  Plan) 

Existing  plus 

committed 

plus  planned 

Future 

GW 
Recharge 
Reduction 

and 
Increase 
in  Total 
Demand 

Transient; 
Monthly 
pumping 

and 
recharge 

H(2) 

10  year 
drought 
period 

Existing 

Existing  plus 

committed 

plus  planned 

Existing 

Increase 

in 
Municipal 
Demand 

H(3) 

10  year 
drought 
period 

Land  cover 

reflective  of 

the  planned  or 

existing  plus 

committed 

(Official  Plan) 

Existing 

Future 

GW 
Recharge 
Reduction 

and 
Increase 
in  Non- 
Municipal 
Demand 

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Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


Table  4C  -  Risk  Scenarios  and  Circumstances  -  Surface  Water 


Local  Area  -  Significant  Risk 

Type  of  System 

Scenarios 

Circumstance 

Surface  Water 
One  or  More 

A-  Existing  -  average  annual 
B-  Existing  -  2/10  year  drought 

a)  the  quantity  of  water  that  could  have  been  taken  from  surface  water  bodies  in  the 
local  area  would  not  have  been  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water 
taken  by  those  municipal  surface  water  intakes. 

b)  the  quantity  of  water  that  could  have  been  taken  from  surface  water  bodies  in  the 
local  area  would  have  been  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  taken 
by  those  municipal  surface  water  intakes  and  the  tolerance  is  Low. 

Surface  Water 
One  or  More 

E-  Planned  system  or  existing  system 
with  committed  demand  -  average 
annual 

a)  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken  from  surface  water  bodies  in  the  local 
area  would  not  be  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those 
municipal  surface  water  intakes. 

b)  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken  from  surface  water  bodies  in  the  local 
area  would  be  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal 
surface  water  intakes  and  one  or  more  of  the  following  circumstance  exists: 

(i)  the  reduction  in  existing  surface  water  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in 
response  to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  unacceptable  impacts  to  existing 
regulated  water  levels  and/or  flows  or  permits. 

(ii)  the  reduction  in  existing  surface  water  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in 
response  to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  unacceptable  impacts  to  aquatic 
habitat  and  provincially  significant  wetlands. 

(iii)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in 
response  to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  unacceptable  impacts  to 
provincially  significant  wetlands. 

Surface  Water 
One  or  More 

F-  Planned  system  or  existing  system 
with  committed  demand  -  2/10  year 
drought 

a)  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken  from  surface  water  bodies  in  the  local 
area  would  not  be  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those 
municipal  surface  water  intakes. 

Local  Area  -  Moderate  Risk 

Surface  Water 
One  or  More 

E  -  Planned  system  or  existing  system 
with  committed  demand  -  average 
annual 

a)  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken  from  surface  water  bodies  in  the  local 
area  would  be  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal 
surface  water  intakes  and  one  or  more  of  the  following  circumstance  exists: 

(i)  the  reduction  in  existing  surface  water  flows  and/or  levels  results,  in 
response  to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  measurable  and  potentially 
unacceptable  impacts  to  existing  regulated  water  levels  and/or  flows  or  permits. 

(ii)  the  reduction  in  existing  surface  water  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in 
response  to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,      in  measurable   and  potentially 
unacceptable  impacts  to  aquatic  habitat  and  provincially  significant  wetlands. 

(iii)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in 
response  to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  unacceptable  impacts  to  provincially 
significant  wetlands. 

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Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


Table  4D  -  Risk  Scenarios  and  Circumstances  -  Groundwater 


Local  Area  -  Significant  Risk 

Type  of  System 

Scenarios 

Circumstance 

Groundwater 
One  or  More 

C  -  Existing  -  average  annual 
D  -Existing  -  10  year  drought 

a)  the  quantity  of  water  that  could  have  been  taken  from  groundwater  in  the  local 
area  would  not  have  been  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  taken 
by  those  municipal  groundwater  wells. 

b)  the  quantity  of  water  that  could  have  been  taken  from  groundwater  in  the  local 
area  would  have  been  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  taken  by 
those  municipal  groundwater  wells  and  the  tolerance  is  Low. 

Groundwater 
One  or  More 

G  -  Planned  system  or  existing  system 
with  committed  demand  -  average 
annual 

a)  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken  from  groundwater  in  the  local  area  would 
not  be  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal 
groundwater  wells. 

b)  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken  from  groundwater  in  the  local  area  would 
be  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal 
groundwater  wells  and  one  or  more  of  the  following  circumstance  exists: 

(i)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in  response 
to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  unacceptable  impacts  to  existing  regulated 
water  levels  and/or  flows  or  permits. 

(ii)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  discharge,  in  response  to  the  allocated 
pumping  rates,  into  a  coldwater  watercourse  by  a  threshold  calculated  as 
greater  than  20  percent  as  compared  to  the  existing  estimated  monthly 
streamflow  Qp80  (the  flow  that  is  exceeded  80  percent  of  the  time)  or  the 
average  monthly  baseflow  of  the  watercourse  or  another  threshold  that  has 
already  been  defined  as  a  condition  in  an  exiting  permit. 

(iii)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in 
response  to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  unacceptable  impacts  to 
provincially  significant  wetlands. 

Groundwater 
One  or  More 

H  -  Planned  system  or  existing  system 
with  committed  demand  -  10  year 
drought 

a)  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken  from  groundwater  in  the  local  area  would 
not  be  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal 
groundwater  wells. 

Local  Area  -  Moderate  Risk 

Groundwater 
One  or  More 

G  -  Planned  system  or  existing  system 
with  committed  demand  -  average 
annual 

a)  the  quantity  of  water  that  can  be  taken  from  groundwater  in  the  local  area  would 
be  sufficient  to  meet  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  those  municipal 
groundwater  wells  and  one  or  more  of  the  following  circumstance  exists: 

(i)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in  response 
to  the  allocated  pumping  rates,  in  measurable  and  potentially  unacceptable 
impacts  to  existing  regulated  water  levels  and/or  flows  or  permits. 

(ii)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  discharge,  in  response  to  the  allocated 
pumping  rates,  into  a  coldwater  watercourse  by  a  threshold  calculated  between 
a  minimum  of  10  percent  but  not  greater  than  20  percent  as  compared  to  the 
existing  estimated  monthly  streamflow  Qp80  (the  flow  that  is  exceeded  80 
percent  of  the  time)  or  the  average  monthly  baseflow  of  the  watercourse  or 
another  threshold  that  has  already  been  defined  as  a  condition  in  an  exiting 
permit. 

(iii)  the  reduction  in  existing  groundwater  levels  and/or  flows  results,  in 
response   to   the   allocated   pumping   rates,   in   measurable   and   potentially 
unacceptable  impacts  to  provincially  significant  wetlands. 

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Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


2.        Clarifications  in  Regard  to  Allocated  Quantity  of  Water 

Column  4  of  Tables  4A  and  4B  describes  the  allocated  quantity  of  water  that  each  of  the 
scenarios  must  consider  when  assessing  the  circumstances  in  Tables  4C  and  4D 

Allocated  Quantity  of  Water  -  Existing  Systems 

The  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  Scenarios  that  require  an  existing  pumping  rate  is  the 
lesser  of: 

•  the  maximum  annual  quantity  of  water  that  can  lawfully  be  taken  by  the  intake  or 
well  (i.e.  the  maximum  annual  permitted  rate);  and 

•  the  sum  of  the  mean  annual  quantity  of  water  taken  by  the  intake  or  well  (i.e.  the 
existing  mean  annual  pumping  rate  during  the  study  year)  and  any  additional  quantity 
of  water  that  would  have  to  be  taken  annually  by  the  intake  or  well  to  meet  the 
committed  demand  of  the  system  (i.e.  existing  plus  committed  annual  pumping  rates). 

Planned  Drinking  Water  System 

A  Planned  Drinking  Water  System,  is  a  drinking  water  system  that  is  to  be  established,  or  a 
part  of  a  drinking  water  system  that  is  to  be  established,  if  (Clean  Water  Act  -  O.  Reg.  287/07 
(General)- SI  (1): 

(a)  approval  to  proceed  with  the  establishment  of  the  system  or  part  has  been 
given  under  Part  II  of  the  Environmental  Assessment  Act, 

(b)  the  establishment  of  the  system  or  part  has  been  identified  as  the  preferred 
solution  within  a  completed  planning  process  conducted  in  accordance  with  an 
approved  class  environmental  assessment  under  Part  II.  1  of  the  Environmental 
Assessment  Act  and  no  order  has  been  issued  under  subsection  16  (1)  of  that  Act,  or 

(c)  the  system  or  part  would  serve  a  reserve  as  defined  in  the  Indian  Act 
(Canada);  ("envisage") 

The  appropriate  tools  for  planning  future  water  supplies  are  the  Planning  Act,  the  Provincial 
Policy  Statement  (PPS)  and  the  Class  Environmental  Assessment  (EA)  process.  There  is  no 
legal  authority  in  the  Clean  Water  Act  (CWA)  to  force  municipalities  to  plan  for  their  future 
water  supply  needs  -  municipalities  already  have  the  power  to  do  this  under  the  Planning  Act 
and  through  the  PPS.  The  Class  EA  process  is  used  to  identify  and  locate  future  water  supply 
and  servicing  needs.  What  the  CWA  does  provide  are  the  tools  to  look  at  existing  systems 
and  systems  that  have  been  identified  through  this  existing  planning  process  (planned 
systems). 


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Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


Allocated  Pumping  Rate  -  Planned  Systems 

The  allocated  quantity  of  water  for  scenarios  that  require  a  planned  pumping  rate  is  the 
planned  amount  per  the  O.  Reg.  287/07  (General)  -  SI  (1)  and  the  lesser  of: 

(a)  the  maximum  annual  quantity  of  water  that  can  lawfully  be  taken  by  the  intake  or 
well  (i.e.  the  maximum  annual  permitted  rate);  and 

(b)  the  sum  of  the  mean  annual  quantity  of  water  taken  by  the  intake  or  well  (i.e.  the 
existing  mean  annual  pumping  rate  during  the  study  year)  and  any  additional 
quantity  of  water  that  would  have  to  be  taken  annually  by  the  intake  or  well  to 
meet  the  committed  demand  of  the  system  (i.e.  existing  plus  committed  annual 
pumping  rates). 

The  following  diagram  provides  a  visual  interpretation  of  the  allocated  quantity  of  water. 


Allocated  Quantity 
of  Water 


Permitted  Rate 

" 

&  WTP  Cof  A  Rate 


I 
I 

r                                         a 

Committed 
Demand 

Existing 
Demand 

V                                                     ) 

Existing 
Demand 

V                                                           J 

The  Planned  Demand  plus: 
the  lesser  amount  between 
the  Existing,  Existing  plus 
Committed,  or  the 
Permitted  Rate 


Existing  Demand 
during  the  Study 
Year 


Planned 
Demand 


Planned 
Demand 


Planned 
Demand 


The  Planned  Demand  has  EA  approval  with  known 
intake/well  locations  and  pumping  rates. 


_ J  X 


Existing  Demand 
plus  any  short- 
term  Committed 
Demand. 

Can  not  exceed  the 
WTP  CofA  Rate  or 
Permitted  Rate 


Planned  Demand 

plus 
Existing  Demand 


Planned  Demand 

plus 

Existing  Demand 

plus 

Committed  Demand 


Planned  Demand 

plus 
Permitted  Rate 


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Technical  Bulletin:  Part  IX  Local  Area  Risk  Level 


3.        Rule  15.1  -  Alternative  Approach 

If  an  SPC  uses  the  above  Part  IX  recommended  approach  to  assign  risk  to  a  local  area,  the 
SPC  should  use  Rule  15.1  to  request  Director  approval.  This  would  need  to  include  an 
explanation  of  how  the  method  or  approach  used  to  assign  the  risk  level  is  "equivalent  to  or 
better  than  the  approach  or  method  prescribed  in  the  rules".  The  requirements  under  Rule 
15.1  are  provided  below. 

Technical  Rule  15.1 

The  Rule  specifies  that,  despite  any  provision  stated  on  any  other  rule,  in  preparing  an 
assessment  report  a  source  protection  committee  may  use  an  alternate  method  or  approach 
for  gathering  information  or  for  performing  a  task  that  departs  from  the  method  or  approach 
prescribed  in  these  rules  if  the  following  conditions  are  met: 

(1)  The  assessment  report  includes, 

(a)  a  rationale  for  the  departure;  and 

(b)  an  explanation  of  how  the  method  or  approach  used  by  the  source  protection 
committee  to  gather  information  or  perform  the  task  is  equivalent  to  or  better 
than  the  approach  or  method  prescribed  in  these  rules 

(2)  The  Director  has  provided  the  source  protection  committee  with  written  confirmation  that 
he  or  she  agrees  to  the  departure  and  a  copy  of  the  confirmation  is  included  in  the  assessment 
report. 


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